原文作者：James Bourne

譯者：張?zhí)K月

核心提示：公有云、私有云還是混合云將成為主流？不同人有不同看法，而無疑OpenStack的巨大收入則是依靠其私有云。

451 Research的最新研究數(shù)據(jù)顯示，到2020年OpenStack的商業(yè)模式收入預(yù)計將超過50億美元(40.8億英鎊)，以35%的復(fù)合年增長率增長。

該數(shù)字與最近OpenStack峰會的前一天發(fā)布的數(shù)字相吻合，確切的是到2018年35億美元，2019年46億美元以及2020年達到57億美元。

451 Research的副總裁 Al Sadowski說，“我們認為，市場仍處于企業(yè)使用和增加營收的早期階段。我們預(yù)計所有部門和區(qū)域的收入都將增加，特別是那些來自O(shè)penStack產(chǎn)品和分布范疇針對的目標企業(yè)?！?/p>

OpenStack的成功將來自于私有云

與DevOps、PaaS和大數(shù)據(jù)等傳統(tǒng)的用戶案例相比，研究公司更看到了軟件定義網(wǎng)絡(luò)(SDN)、網(wǎng)絡(luò)功能虛擬化(NFV)、移動和物聯(lián)網(wǎng)的顯著優(yōu)勢。

根據(jù)研究公司調(diào)查，他們主要的用戶群仍然是企業(yè)尋求在私有云環(huán)境中部署與運行應(yīng)用程序，然而這對那些已經(jīng)使用超大型云供應(yīng)商，以及其遺留應(yīng)用程序的IT部門的吸引力有限。

這些數(shù)字，再加上OpenStack本月早些時候公布的數(shù)據(jù)，引起了人們的興趣。根據(jù)OpenStack用戶群數(shù)據(jù)顯示，被78%的受訪者引用的容器技術(shù)，SDN和NFV(61%)和裸金屬(56%)是人們感興趣的主要技術(shù)。

但451 Research也警告說,雖然容器軟件對OpenStack來說是最有益的且互補強，但“對手對他們的管理和容器技術(shù)的持續(xù)關(guān)注可能對OpenStack非常不利，類似于OpenStack通過關(guān)注競爭對手CloudStack的管理思想，最后在市場份額上成為了主角。”

英文原文

OpenStack revenues to exceed $5bn by 2020 – with private cloud the lynchpin

Revenues from OpenStack business models will surpass $5 billion (￡4.08bn) by 2020 and grow at a CAGR of 35%, according to the latest figures from 451 Research.

The numbers, which are being released to coincide with the day before the latest OpenStack Summit, puts the exact figure at $5.7bn by 2020, from $4.6bn the previous year and $3.5bn in 2018.

“We continue to believe the market is still in the early stages of enterprise use and revenue generation,” said Al Sadowski, research vice president at 451 Research. “We expect an uptick in revenues from all sectors and geographic regions, especially from those companies in the OpenStack Products and Distributions category that are targeting enterprises.”

OpenStack will see success is in the private cloud space.

Alongside more traditional use cases, such as DevOps, platform as a service (PaaS) and big data, the research firm sees significant benefits with regard to software defined networking (SDN), network function virtualisation (NFV), mobile, and the Internet of Things.

The primary user base, according to the research firm, remains enterprises looking to deploy cloud-native applications in private cloud environments, with “l(fā)imited” appeal for organisations who are already using hyperscale cloud providers, as well as on legacy applications.

These figures make for interesting reading alongside those put out by OpenStack themselves earlier this month. According to data taken from the OpenStack user base, containers – cited by 78% of respondents – SDN and NFV (61%) and bare metal (56%). are the primary technologies of interest going forward.

451 warns that while container software is ‘mostly’ beneficial and complementary to OpenStack, “persistent attention to containers and their management threatens to eclipse OpenStack, similar to how OpenStack surpassed its rival CloudStack in mindshare and then market share.”

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