Tipster Will Burns takes a look at the upcoming fixtures in the Champions League Quarter-Finals first-legs below. Good luck if your having a punt, and please click on one of our sponsors to have a bet to help us pay the bills. All Will’s tips are over EVENS so you can get yourself some value in the markets.
TUESDAY 1ST APRIL 2014
BARCELONA vs. ATLETICO MADRID
At the Nou Camp, Barca host Atlético on Tuesday and these two sides have met three times this season already and there has yet to be a winner.
Surprisingly, all three games did not see many chances created or many goals scored however, they were all captivating tactically and I can see this one turning out exactly the same. Diego Simeone’s men outplayed Tata Martino’s outfit in Camp Nou back in September and drew 0-0 in the Spanish Super Cup.
Obviously, Barcelona will be dead set on taking a lead with them to the Vicente Calderon next week, but Atlético defeated AC Milan 1-0 in the San Siro a month ago and have a robust away record in this season’s toughest fixtures.
Martino likes to play with four in the midfield in important big matches to control possession. This leaves the trickery of Lionel Messi and Neymar to create in attacking areas. Andrés Iniesta and Cesc Fàbregas are crucial to help penetrate defences with their forward running and Simeone’s approach nullifies that of Barca perfectly. Atlético’s strikers press the oppositions’ defence into their own half at a scary pace forcing mistakes when they play short, while able to deal comfortably with the option of going long. The second phase involves Atlético dropping back and getting numbers behind the ball.
I can see this once again being a tight game with few goals. At Bet Victor, Under 2.5 Goals is being offered at 11/10 but I can see our best bet is being the draw at a massive 16/5.
BEST BET: Draw (16/5 – Bet Victor)
MANCHESTER UNITED vs. BAYERN MUNICH
On course to repeat the triumphant treble of the Champions League, Bundesliga and the German Cup like last season, this remarkable Bayern Munich side head to a troublesome Old Trafford on Tuesday.
Pep Guardiola’s men wrapped up the Bundesliga championship last weekend to become the first side in history to be crowned champions before the end of March. The Spaniard was tipped to have a tough task when he replaced the god-like Jupp Heynckes this season, but the ex-Barca boss is about to accomplish the German’s great achievements with ease.
Given the struggles David Moyes and Manchester United have experience this season, their continued involvement in Europe’s premier club competition seems to be only thing left to cling onto so the Red Devils will be more than up for the German’s visit.
Although Moyes’s side have the best away record in the Premier League, they have been poor at home. United have been beaten six times on their own grass in the league, and Old Trafford also witnessed their side knocked out of the FA Cup by Swansea City.
Bayern haven’t lost a game since a 3-2 Champions League reverse at home to Manchester City in mid-December, and I cannot see David Moyes’s men repeating their rivals feat. Look for Bayern to control from the outset and win by a few goals.
Bayern will look to dominate possession as per usual and United’s only chance is to try and press aggressively in midfield, and exploit the space in behind Bayern’s full-backs when they steal the ball. However, United failed to disrupt either Liverpool or Manchester City being on the end of heavy defeats. Our best bet is hosted by Bet365com and a two-goal win for Bayern pays out at 6/5.
BEST BET: Bayern Munich -1 (6/4 – Bet 365)
Join us tomorrow for two more tips for Wednesday night’s games with Real Madrid facing Borussia Dortmund and PSG vs. Chelsea.
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